Election 2010: Live Blogging Begins Tuesday at 7:00 PM CST

The Simpleton will be live-blogging the local, state, and national election returns beginning at 7:00 PM on Election Eve. Thanks for following.

Election 2010 Preview--Update #3

The consensus among professional political analysts is that the Dems are going to lose, and lose big in tomorrow's elections. Most, of course, afraid to get egg on their faces, are being very measured in their predictions of Republican gains. Not being a professional analyst, I have no fear of predicting a Republican gain of 70+ seats in the House and a 50/50 Senate when all of the votes are counted. There will be big Republican gains in the governor races as well.

It is bad year to be a Democrat. The Democratic pollster quoted in the below article sums the Democrat situation up best: “I’m resigned to the fact that it sucks.”

So sad for the Dems. There is going to be a donkey barbeque tomorrow.

Grim Dems Await Huge House Losses
By: Alex Isenstad
October 31, 2010 04:53 PM EDT

The last TV ads have been cut. The final polls have been conducted. The end-of-campaign expenditures are being made.

Now, for Democratic consultants and campaign officials who have plotted and strategized for months to preserve the embattled House majority, there’s nothing left to do but sit and wait for the expected horrors of Election Day to unfold.

There is nearly uniform consensus among Democratic campaign professionals that the House is gone — the only question, it seems, is how many seats they will lose.

While few will say so on the record for fear of alienating party officials or depressing turnout, every one of nearly a dozen Democratic House consultants and political strategists surveyed expect a GOP majority to be elected Tuesday — the consensus was that Democrats would lose somewhere between 50 and 60 seats.

A senior party consultant who was on the low end with his predictions said the party would lose between 40 and 50 seats. On the high end, one Democratic consultant said losses could number around 70 seats.

All spoke to the grimness of the mood.

“It sucks,” said Dave Beattie, a Florida-based Democratic pollster who is working on a slate of competitive House races and who acknowledges that the lower congressional chamber is lost. “I’m resigned to the fact that it sucks.”

To read the whole Politico article, click on the blog post title or copy and paste this: http://dyn.politico.com/printstory.cfm?uuid=03A44CBF-0C07-448A-99CB09FC8163E166

Election 2010 Preview--Update #2

Landslide coming.

AP-GfK Poll: Likely voters ready to embrace GOP
By LIZ SIDOTI
AP National Political Writer

WASHINGTON (AP) - All signs point to huge Republican victories in two weeks, with the GOP now leading Democrats on virtually every measure in an Associated Press-GfK poll of people likely to vote in the first major elections of Barack Obama's presidency.
In the final survey before Election Day, likely voters say the GOP would do a better job than Democrats on handling the economy, creating jobs and running the government.

Most also think the country's headed in the wrong direction. More than half disapprove of Obama's job performance. And even more don't like the Democratic-controlled Congress.

Neither party is popular. But likely voters view the GOP a bit more positively than they do the Democrats. Slightly more say they will vote for the Republican congressional candidate in their district over the Democrat. And most think the GOP will win control of Congress from the Democrats.

To read the whole AP article, click on the blog post title or copy and paste this: http://www.breitbart.com/article.php?id=D9IVUHB00&show_article=1

Election 2010 Preview--Update #1

Check back for frequent updates on Election 2010 . . .

Election 2010 Preview

With election day approaching, the big questions is not who will win--but how large will the Republican House majority be and will the Republicans have enough populist groundswell to take the Senate. Rasmussen is predicting a 55 seat gain for the Republicans in the House--the Senate is still a toss-up.

My opinion is that the current polling models are not adequate because they have never measured a race where Republican intenisty is so great. I suspect the Republicans will win at least 80 house seats and pull some surprises--squeaking out a majority in the Senate.

Newport Beach, Calif.—Nationally-recognized pollster Scott Rasmussen last night predicted that Republicans would gain 55 seats in races for the U.S. House of Representatives November 2—much more than the 39 needed for a Republican majority in the House for the first time since 2006.

But the man whose Rasmussen Reports polling is watched carefully by politicians and frequently quoted by the punditocracy said that whether Republicans gain the ten seats they need to take control of the Senate is in question.

“Republicans should have 48 seats [after the elections next month], Democrats 47, and five seats could slide either way,” said Rasmussen in his banquet address at the Western Conservative Political Action Conference. He was referring to seats in five states in which the Senate race this year he considers too close to call: California, Illinois, Washington, West Virginia, and Nevada (or “that mudwrestling contest,” as Rasmussen described the race between Republican Sharron Angle and Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid).

To read the whole Human Events article, click the blog post title or copy and paste this: http://www.humanevents.com/article.php?id=39460

My Favorite Democrat

This guy has got to be my favorite Democrat in any of the upcoming races. Chris Young is running for Mayor of Providence, Rhode Island.



Hat tip to HotAir.com.

Dem Candidates Pulling The Steven Slater Move

With election 2010 approaching and Obama's approval rating continuing to fall, vulnerable Democrats are fleeing our Commander-In-Chief as if he had the plague.

This campaign ad is well-done:



To read a related article, click on the blog post title or copy and paste this: http://www.nydailynews.com/news/politics/2010/08/18/2010-08-18_gop_ad_shows_dems_sliding_off_bam_plane.html

I am the Gulf Coast Simpleton, and I approve this message.

Congressman Etheridge (D-NC) Goes Berzerk

Blue Dog Democats who have been kowtowing to Obama, Pelosi, Reid, Waxman and Co. are getting a little irritable as the November elections approach. As the Bible teaches, "a man reaps what he sows." So it will be for our Southern "moderate" democrats who talk conservative at home during election time but head to Washington and support the liberal agenda time and time again.

Mike Flynn has more at BigGovernment.com. Just click on the blog post title or copy and paste this: http://biggovernment.com/mikeflynn/2010/06/14/long-hot-summer-begins-congressman-attacks-student/

Bob Hope on Zombies

Republican vs. Democrats

[CLICK IMAGE TO ENLARGE]

No wonder Republicans seem happier than Democrats.