With election day approaching, the big questions is not who will win--but how large will the Republican House majority be and will the Republicans have enough populist groundswell to take the Senate. Rasmussen is predicting a 55 seat gain for the Republicans in the House--the Senate is still a toss-up.My opinion is that the current polling models are not adequate because they have never measured a race where Republican intenisty is so great. I suspect the Republicans will win at least 80 house seats and pull some surprises--squeaking out a majority in the Senate.
Newport Beach, Calif.—Nationally-recognized pollster Scott Rasmussen last night predicted that Republicans would gain 55 seats in races for the U.S. House of Representatives November 2—much more than the 39 needed for a Republican majority in the House for the first time since 2006.To read the whole Human Events article, click the blog post title or copy and paste this: http://www.humanevents.com/article.php?id=39460
But the man whose Rasmussen Reports polling is watched carefully by politicians and frequently quoted by the punditocracy said that whether Republicans gain the ten seats they need to take control of the Senate is in question.
“Republicans should have 48 seats [after the elections next month], Democrats 47, and five seats could slide either way,” said Rasmussen in his banquet address at the Western Conservative Political Action Conference. He was referring to seats in five states in which the Senate race this year he considers too close to call: California, Illinois, Washington, West Virginia, and Nevada (or “that mudwrestling contest,” as Rasmussen described the race between Republican Sharron Angle and Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid).
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